|I took this photo on Friday, October 14, 2011|
When Occupy Wall Street organizer Jesse Myerson was asked how the movement defined victory, he answered by saying it was a stupid question, since the movement was only a few weeks old.
From this answer we may fairly deduce that there is no objective, at least none that the common people involved in the streets are aware of. So once all the expressions of discontent are exhausted, and the kids depicted in the photo above become tired of living like hobos in squalor, the movement is either going to escalate into violence, form a political party, or disband.
Most in the group did not seem prone to violence, and the political views of the participants may be too divergent to form a cohesive political party (I spoke with two people who were clearly pro-capitalism and who's beef rested with the FED for its inflationary practices). So the likely outcome will be that the movement will disband.
But when? What's the over and under?
I say the earliest it will disband, barring a police crack-down, is December 3, 2011. This date would allow the occupiers to remain through the Thanksgiving holiday, while avoiding the throes of the coming winter.
The latest it will disband, in my view, is February 16, 2012, after several of the participants freeze to death.
What do you think?